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  • We think one to artificial intelligence have an unmatched impact on the world, probably next decade.
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Whenever we’re also inside the a “near-pessimistic” condition, this could alternatively include channeling our very own cumulative efforts on the AI shelter research and you can halting AI improvements meanwhile. These scenarios you may vary from "medium-effortless scenarios", in which we believe we can generate plenty of limited progress from the iterating to the techniques for example Constitutional AI, in order to "medium-hard circumstances", in which succeeding in the mechanistic interpretability seems like our best option. Our feel is that even predicting the fresh decisions and features away from AI possibilities in the near future is extremely tough.

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